SEATBY
SEAT
A POLITICAL ANORAK’S GUIDE
TO POTENTIAL GAINS AND LOSSES
IN THE 2015 GENERAL ELECTION
IAIN DALE
Contents
Title PageIntroductionSummary of PredictionsThe 94 Seats I Predict Will Change HandsThe 54 Labour GainsThe 20 Conservative GainsThe 12 SNP GainsThe 5 UKIP GainsThe 32 Liberal Democrat LossesThe 48 Conservative LossesThe 12 Labour LossesSeat by Seat PredictionsBedfordshireBerkshireBirminghamBristol & SurroundsBuckinghamshireCambridgeshireCheshireCornwallCounty DurhamCumbriaDevonEast SussexEast Yorkshire & HumbersideEssexGreater ManchesterDerbyshireDorsetGloucestershireHampshireHerefordshire & WorcestershireHertfordshireKentLancashireLeicestershireLincolnshireLondon – CentralLondon – EastLondon – North EastLondon – North WestLondon – SouthLondon – South EastLondon – South WestLondon – WestMerseysideNorth YorkshireNorthumberlandNorfolkNorthamptonshireNottinghamshireOxfordshireShropshireSomersetSouth YorkshireStaffordshireSuffolkSurreyTeessideTyne & WearWarwickshireWest MidlandsWest SussexWiltshireWest YorkshireScotlandNorthern IrelandWalesCopyright
Introduction
So what’s the election result going to be? That’s the question I am asked most often nowadays, and I am sure it’s the one my fellow political commentators also find the most difficult to answer. ‘Oh, it’s going to be very exciting,’ we all say, laughing nervously because nobody has a clue what the real answer is.
The truth is that this is the most unpredictable election in recent memory and for one very simple reason – for the first time in British political history, we’re now in five-party politics. For the first time ever it’s conceivable that the joint vote share of the two main parties might be under 60 per cent.
The only thing we can say with certainty is that the days of the election night swingometer are well and truly behind us. There is no such thing as a national swing. National opinion polls have been rendered almost redundant. The various internet election forecasting sites have little relevance. Tip O’Neill once said that ‘all politics is local’ and boy was he right.
I have taken him at his word and taken on the mammoth task of predicting the result in each of the UK’s 650 constituencies. Clearly only an idiot or a massive political geek would undertake such a task and put his money where his mouth is. I’ll leave you to decide which I am.
Obviously I am not an expert on each seat, but there’s a lot of information out there if you look for it. Sites like PoliticalBetting.com and UKPollingReport are mines of useful statistics and opinion. Lord Ashcroft’s excellent constituency-based polls also provide useful data along with other local factors I have researched. I’ve made the predictions as scientific as I can make them on the evidence I have available to me. In the end you also have to sniff the political wind and rely on your own political instinct. And that’s what I have done. It’s served me well over the last year when I got the European election results bang on and made the most accurate predictions in Cameron’s Cabinet reshuffle. I don’t expect to have got every prediction right, which will come as a relief to several MP friends from all parties who I have predicted will lose their seats, but this is an ongoing process and I fully expect to revise some of these predictions between now and 7 May.
Having completed the task I am so glad I undertook it, as it has confirmed several theories – one being that the Tories will pile up votes in seats where they don’t need them. This could well mean that Labour get the highest number of seats but the Tories get the most votes, by a reasonable margin.
In Scotland I just cannot see how the SNP can gain the number of seats many people are predicting. Some pundits predict with straight faces that the SNP will sweep the electoral board and end up with thirty to forty seats. They have six at the moment and, try as I might, I can’t get them above eighteen. If they do achieve more than that it would be a political earthquake of epic proportions. They would be overturning Labour majorities of 15,000–20,000.
The most difficult thing to predict is how well UKIP and the Greens will do. Both could deny each of the major parties victory in many marginal seats. Labour ought to be gaining seats in north Wales, for example, but the strong UKIP vote there – where they are taking more Labour votes than Tory ones – may well mean they don’t gain any at all. Indeed, in the north-west of England that same phenomenon could mean the Tories picking up the odd Labour marginal.
The one prediction I am 100 per cent confident in making is that the Liberal Democrats will lose more than half of their seats. A year ago I thought they’d end up with 30–35; back in October I revised that to 28–30. Now I have them on 24. It could get even worse, although I reckon Nick Clegg will be safe in Sheffield Hallam.
The most recent political phenomenon is the growth of the Greens. While I don’t see them winning any extra seats, it is perfectly possible for an increase in their vote to stop Labour winning in some key marginal seats. If the Lib Dem vote transfers to the Greens instead of Labour, Ed Miliband is in much bigger trouble than my headline prediction might suggest.
If my overall prediction is anywhere near correct, Britain is on the verge of months, or maybe years, of political uncertainty. It would take three parties to form a coalition, and I doubt whether many of us can see that happening. A safer bet would be that no one could form a sustainable government and we could be in for a second election in the autumn, which none but the main two parties could afford – and even Labour would find it difficult to raise the necessary money in such a short time. In the meantime, the markets will get the jitters and the fragile economic recovery could well be threatened.
Welcome to five-party politics. It’s not going to be an easy ride.
Summary of Predictions
Conservative 278 (-29)
Labour 301 (+42)
Liberal Democrats 24 (-33)
SNP 18 (+12)
UKIP 5 (+5)
Plaid Cymru 3 (-)
Green 1 (-)
Respect 1 (-)
DUP 8 (-)
Sinn Féin 5 (-)
SDLP 3 (-)
Alliance 1 (-)
Independent 1 (-)
Speaker 1 (-)
Only 94 (14.5%) out of 650 seats will change handsScotland is the most volatile region of the UK with 15 out of 59 seats changing handsIn England, the South West and the North West are the most volatile regions with 13 seats changing hands in eachThe North East is the most stable region with only 2 seats changing handsThe Conservatives will lose 48 seats and gain 21Labour will lose 11 seats and gain 54The Lib Dems will lose 32 seats and gain noneThe SNP will lose no seats and gain 12UKIP will lose no seats and gain 5The seat with the biggest majority to change hands will be Linlithgow & Falkirk (12,553), which will be won by the SNP from Labour
The 94 Seats I Predict Will Change Hands
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015REGIONBelfast East1,533Naomi LongAllianceDUPNorthern IrelandAmber Valley536Nigel AdamsConLabEast MidlandsBedford1,353Richard FullerConLabEast AngliaBrentford &
Isleworth1,958Mary MacLeodConLabLondonBrighton
Kemptown1,328Simon KirbyConLabSouth EastBroxtowe389Anna SoubryConLabEast MidlandsBury North2,243David NuttallConLabNorth WestCannock Chase3,195Aidan Burley *ConLabWest MidlandsCardiff North194Jonathan Evans *ConLabWalesCarlisle853John StevensonConLabNorth WestCity of Chester2,583Stephen MosleyConLabNorth WestCorby2,525Andy SawfordConLabEast MidlandsDewsbury1,526Simon ReevellConLabYorkshireEaling Central
& Acton3,716Angie BrayConLabLondonEnfield North1,692Nick de BoisConLabLondonErewash2,501Jessica Lee *ConLabEast MidlandsGloucester2,420Richard GrahamConLabSouth WestHalesowen &
Rowley Regis2,023James MorrisConLabWest MidlandsHarlow4,925Robert HalfonConLabEast AngliaHarrow East3,403Bob BlackmanConLabLondonHastings & Rye1,993Amber RuddConLabSouth EastHendon106Matthew OffordConLabLondonHove1,868Mike Weatherley *ConLabSouth EastIpswich2,079Ben GummerConLabEast AngliaKeighley2,940Kris HopkinsConLabYorkshireKingswood2,445Chris SkidmoreConLabSouth WestLancaster &
Fleetwood333Eric OllerenshawConLabNorth WestLincoln1,058Karl McCartneyConLabEast MidlandsMilton Keynes South5,201Iain StewartConLabSouth EastMorecambe
& Lunesdale866David MorrisConLabNorth WestNorth Warwickshire54Dan Byles *ConLabWest MidlandsNorthampton North1,936Michael EllisConLabEast MidlandsNorwich North3,901Chloe SmithConLabEast AngliaNuneaton2,069Marcus JonesConLabWest MidlandsPlymouth Sutton
& Devonport1,149Oliver ColvilleConLabSouth WestPudsey1,659Stuart AndrewConLabYorkshireSherwood214Mark SpencerConLabEast MidlandsSouth Swindon3,544Robert BucklandConLabSouth WestStevenage3,578Stephen McPartlandConLabEast AngliaStroud1,299Neil CarmichaelConLabSouth WestWarrington South1,553David MowatConLabNorth WestWatford1,425Richard HarringtonConLabEast AngliaWaveney769Peter AldousConLabEast AngliaWeaver Vale991Graham EvansConLabNorth WestWolverhampton
South West691Paul UppalConLabWest MidlandsBoston & Skegness12,426Mark Simmonds *ConUKIPEast MidlandsClacton12,068Douglas
Carswell **ConUKIPEast AngliaThanet South7,617Laura Sandys *ConUKIPSouth EastThurrock92Jackie Doyle-PriceConUKIPEast AngliaHampstead
& Kilburn42Glenda Jackson *LabConLondonBradford West5,763George Galloway**LabRespectYorkshireAberdeen North8,361Frank Doran *LabSNPScotlandDundee West7,278Jim McGovernLabSNPScotlandFalkirk7,843Eric Joyce *LabSNPScotlandGlasgow North3,898Ann McKechinLabSNPScotlandLivingston10,791Graham MorriceLabSNPScotlandLinlithgow
& Falkirk12,553Michael
ConnartyLabSNPScotlandNorth Ayrshire
& Arran9,895Katy ClarkLabSNPScotlandOchil & South
Perthshire5,187Gordon BanksLabSNPScotlandStirling8,304Anne McGuire *LabSNPScotlandHeywood & Middleton5,971Liz McInnesLabUKIPNorth WestBerwick upon Tweed2,690Sir Alan Beith *Lib DemConNorth EastBerwickshire,
Roxburgh & Selkirk5,675Michael MooreLib DemConScotlandCarshalton &
Wallington5,260Tom BrakeLib DemConLondonCheadle3,272Mark HunterLib DemConNorth WestChippenham2,470Duncan HamesLib DemConSouth WestEastbourne3,435Stephen LloydLib DemConSouth EastEastleigh3,864Mike ThorntonLib DemConSouth EastHazel Grove6,371Sir Andrew
Stunell *Lib DemConNorth WestMid Dorset &
North Poole269Annette Brooke *Lib DemConSouth WestNorth Cornwall2,981Dan RogersonLib DemConSouth WestPortsmouth South5,200Mike Hancock *Lib DemConSouth EastSolihull175Lorely BurtLib DemConWest MidlandsSomerton & Frome1,817David Heath *Lib DemConSouth WestSouthport6,024John PughLib DemConNorth WestSt Austell & Newquay1,312Stephen GilbertLib DemConSouth WestSt Ives1,719Andrew GeorgeLib DemConSouth WestSutton & Cheam1,608Paul BurstowLib DemConLondonTaunton Deane3,993Jeremy Browne *Lib DemConSouth WestWells800Tessa MuntLib DemConSouth WestWest Aberdeenshire
& Kincardine3,684Sir Robert SmithLib DemConScotlandBirmingham Yardley3,002John HemmingLib DemLabWest MidlandsBradford East365David WardLib DemLabYorkshireBrent Central1,345Sarah Teather *Lib DemLabLondonBurnley1,818Gordon
BirtwhistleLib DemLabNorth WestCardiff Central4,576Jenny WillottLib DemLabWalesEast Dunbartonshire2,184Jo SwinsonLib DemLabScotlandHornsey & Wood Green6,875Lynne
FeatherstoneLib DemLabLondonManchester Withington1,894John LeechLib DemLabNorth WestNorwich South310Simon WrightLib DemLabEast AngliaRedcar5,214Ian SwalesLib DemLabNorth EastArgyll & Bute3,431Alan ReidLib DemSNPScotlandEdinburgh West3,803Michael CrockartLib DemSNPScotlandGordon6,748Sir Malcolm
Bruce *Lib DemSNPScotland
The 54 Labour Gains
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015REGIONAmber Valley536Nigel AdamsConLabEast MidlandsBedford1,353Richard FullerConLabEast AngliaBrentford &
Isleworth1,958Mary MacLeodConLabLondonBrighton Kemptown1,328Simon KirbyConLabSouth EastBroxtowe389Anna SoubryConLabEast MidlandsBury North2,243David NuttallConLabNorth WestCannock Chase3,195Aidan Burley *ConLabWest MidlandsCardiff North194Jonathan Evans *ConLabWalesCarlisle853John StevensonConLabNorth WestCity of Chester2,583Stephen MosleyConLabNorth WestCorby2,525Andy Sawford**ConLabEast MidlandsDewsbury1,526Simon ReevellConLabYorkshireEaling Central
& Acton3,716Angie BrayConLabLondonEnfield North1,692Nick de BoisConLabLondonErewash2,501Jessica Lee *ConLabEast MidlandsGloucester2,420Richard GrahamConLabSouth WestHalesowen &
Rowley Regis2,023James MorrisConLabWest MidlandsHarlow4,925Robert HalfonConLabEast AngliaHarrow East3,403Bob BlackmanConLabLondonHastings & Rye1,993Amber RuddConLabSouth EastHendon106Matthew OffordConLabLondonHove1,868Mike Weatherley *ConLabSouth EastIpswich2,079Ben GummerConLabEast AngliaKeighley2,940Kris HopkinsConLabYorkshireKingswood2,445Chris SkidmoreConLabSouth WestLancaster &
Fleetwood333Eric OllerenshawConLabNorth WestLincoln1,058Karl McCartneyConLabEast MidlandsMilton Keynes South5,201Iain StewartConLabSouth EastMorecambe
& Lunesdale866David MorrisConLabNorth WestNorth Warwickshire54Dan Byles *ConLabWest MidlandsNorthampton North1,936Michael EllisConLabEast MidlandsNorwich North3,901Chloe SmithConLabEast AngliaNuneaton2,069Marcus JonesConLabWest MidlandsPlymouth Sutton
& Devonport1,149Oliver ColvilleConLabSouth WestPudsey1,659Stuart AndrewConLabYorkshireSherwood214Mark SpencerConLabEast MidlandsSouth Swindon3,544Robert BucklandConLabSouth WestStevenage3,578Stephen
McPartlandConLabEast AngliaStroud1,299Neil CarmichaelConLabSouth WestWarrington South1,553David MowatConLabNorth WestWatford1,425Richard
HarringtonConLabEast AngliaWaveney769Peter AldousConLabEast AngliaWeaver Vale991Graham EvansConLabNorth WestWolverhampton
South West691Paul UppalConLabWest MidlandsBirmingham Yardley3,002John HemmingLib DemLabWest MidlandsBradford East365David WardLib DemLabYorkshireBrent Central1,345Sarah Teather *Lib DemLabLondonBurnley1,818Gordon
BirtwhistleLib DemLabNorth WestCardiff Central4,576Jenny WillottLib DemLabWalesEast Dunbartonshire2,184Jo SwinsonLib DemLabScotlandHornsey &
Wood Green6,875Lynne FeatherstoneLib DemLabLondonManchester
Withington1,894John LeechLib DemLabNorth WestNorwich South310Simon WrightLib DemLabEast AngliaRedcar5,214Ian SwalesLib DemLabNorth East
The 20 Conservative Gains
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015REGIONHampstead
& Kilburn42Glenda Jackson*LabConLondonBerwick upon Tweed2,690Sir Alan Beith *Lib DemConNorth EastBerwickshire,
Roxburgh & Selkirk5,675Michael MooreLib DemConScotlandCarshalton &
Wallington5,260Tom BrakeLib DemConLondonCheadle3,272Mark HunterLib DemConNorth WestChippenham2,470Duncan HamesLib DemConSouth WestEastbourne3,435Stephen LloydLib DemConSouth EastEastleigh3,864Mike ThorntonLib DemConSouth EastHazel Grove6,371Sir Andrew Stunell *Lib DemConNorth WestMid Dorset &
North Poole269Annette Brooke *Lib DemConSouth WestNorth Cornwall2,981Dan RogersonLib DemConSouth WestPortsmouth South5,200Mike Hancock *Lib DemConSouth EastSolihull175Lorely BurtLib DemConWest MidlandsSomerton & Frome1,817David Heath *Lib DemConSouth WestSouthport6,024John PughLib DemConNorth WestSt Austell & Newquay1,312Stephen GilbertLib DemConSouth WestSt Ives1,719Andrew GeorgeLib DemConSouth WestSutton & Cheam1,608Paul BurstowLib DemConLondonTaunton Deane3,993Jeremy Browne *Lib DemConSouth WestWells800Tessa MuntLib DemConSouth WestWest Aberdeenshire
& Kincardine3,684Sir Robert SmithLib DemConScotland
The 12 SNP Gains
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015Aberdeen North8,361Frank Doran *LabSNPArgyll & Bute3,431Alan ReidLib DemSNPDundee West7,278Jim McGovernLabSNPEdinburgh West3,803Michael CrockartLib DemSNPFalkirk7,843Eric Joyce *LabSNPGlasgow North3,898Ann McKechinLabSNPGordon6,748Sir Malcolm Bruce *Lib DemSNPLivingston10,791Graham MorriceLabSNPLinlithgow & Falkirk12,553Michael ConnartyLabSNPNorth Ayrshire
& Arran9,895Katy ClarkLabSNPOchil & South
Perthshire5,187Gordon BanksLabSNPStirling8,304Anne McGuire *LabSNP
The 5 UKIP Gains
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015Boston & Skegness12,426Mark Simmonds *ConUKIPClacton12,068Douglas Carswell **ConUKIPHeywood &
Middleton5,971Liz McInnesLabUKIPThanet South7,617Laura Sandys *ConUKIPThurrock92Jackie Doyle-PriceConUKIP
The 32 Liberal Democrat Losses
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015Berwick upon Tweed2,690Sir Alan Beith *Lib DemConBerwickshire,
Roxburgh & Selkirk5,675Michael MooreLib DemConCarshalton &
Wallington5,260Tom BrakeLib DemConCheadle3,272Mark HunterLib DemConChippenham2,470Duncan HamesLib DemConEastbourne3,435Stephen LloydLib DemConEastleigh3,864Mike ThorntonLib DemConHazel Grove6,371Sir Andrew Stunell *Lib DemConMid Dorset &
North Poole269Annette Brooke *Lib DemConNorth Cornwall2,981Dan RogersonLib DemConPortsmouth South5,200Mike Hancock *Lib DemConSolihull175Lorely BurtLib DemConSomerton & Frome1,817David Heath *Lib DemConSouthport6,024John PughLib DemConSt Austell & Newquay1,312Stephen GilbertLib DemConSt Ives1,719Andrew GeorgeLib DemConSutton & Cheam1,608Paul BurstowLib DemConTaunton Deane3,993Jeremy Browne *Lib DemConWells800Tessa MuntLib DemConWest Aberdeenshire
& Kincardine3,684Sir Robert SmithLib DemConBirmingham Yardley3,002John HemmingLib DemLabBradford East365David WardLib DemLabBrent Central1,345Sarah Teather *Lib DemLabBurnley1,818Gordon BirtwhistleLib DemLabCardiff Central4,576Jenny WillottLib DemLabEast Dunbartonshire2,184Jo SwinsonLib DemLabHornsey & Wood Green6,875Lynne FeatherstoneLib DemLabManchester Withington1,894John LeechLib DemLabNorwich South310Simon WrightLib DemLabRedcar5,214Ian SwalesLib DemLabArgyll & Bute3,431Alan ReidLib DemSNPEdinburgh West3,803Michael CrockartLib DemSNPGordon6,748Sir Malcolm Bruce *Lib DemSNP
The 48 Conservative Losses
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015REGIONAmber Valley536Nigel AdamsConLabEast MidlandsBedford1,353Richard FullerConLabEast AngliaBrentford & Isleworth1,958Mary MacLeodConLabLondonBrighton Kemptown1,328Simon KirbyConLabSouth EastBroxtowe389Anna SoubryConLabEast MidlandsBury North2,243David NuttallConLabNorth WestCannock Chase3,195Aidan Burley *ConLabWest MidlandsCardiff North194Jonathan Evans *ConLabWalesCarlisle853John StevensonConLabNorth WestCity of Chester2,583Stephen MosleyConLabNorth WestCorby2,525Andy Sawford **ConLabEast MidlandsDewsbury1,526Simon ReevellConLabYorkshireEaling Central & Acton3,716Angie BrayConLabLondonEnfield North1,692Nick de BoisConLabLondonErewash2,501Jessica Lee *ConLabEast MidlandsGloucester2,420Richard GrahamConLabSouth WestHalesowen & Rowley Regis2,023James MorrisConLabWest MidlandsHarlow4,925Robert HalfonConLabEast AngliaHarrow East3,403Bob BlackmanConLabLondonHastings & Rye1,993Amber RuddConLabSouth EastHendon106Matthew OffordConLabLondonHove1,868Mike Weatherley *ConLabSouth EastIpswich2,079Ben GummerConLabEast AngliaKeighley2,940Kris HopkinsConLabYorkshireKingswood2,445Chris SkidmoreConLabSouth WestLancaster & Fleetwood333Eric OllerenshawConLabNorth WestLincoln1,058Karl McCartneyConLabEast MidlandsMilton Keynes South5,201Iain StewartConLabSouth EastMorecambe & Lunesdale866David MorrisConLabNorth WestNorth Warwickshire54Dan Byles *ConLabWest MidlandsNorthampton North1,936Michael EllisConLabEast MidlandsNorwich North3,901Chloe SmithConLabEast AngliaNuneaton2,069Marcus JonesConLabWest MidlandsPlymouth Sutton & Devonport1,149Oliver ColvilleConLabSouth WestPudsey1,659Stuart AndrewConLabYorkshireSherwood214Mark SpencerConLabEast MidlandsSouth Swindon3,544Robert BucklandConLabSouth WestStevenage3,578Stephen McPartlandConLabEast AngliaStroud1,299Neil CarmichaelConLabSouth WestWarrington South1,553David MowatConLabNorth WestWatford1,425Richard HarringtonConLabEast AngliaWaveney769Peter AldousConLabEast AngliaWeaver Vale991Graham EvansConLabNorth WestWolverhampton South West691Paul UppalConLabWest MidlandsBoston & Skegness12,426Mark Simmonds *ConUKIPEast MidlandsClacton12,068Douglas Carswell **ConUKIPEast AngliaThanet South7,617Laura Sandys *ConUKIPSouth EastThurrock92Jackie Doyle-PriceConUKIPEast Anglia
The 12 Labour Losses
CONSTITUENCYMAJSITTING MP20102015REGIONHampstead & Kilburn42Glenda Jackson*LabConLondonBradford West5,763George Galloway**LabRespectYorkshireAberdeen North8,361Frank Doran *LabSNPScotlandDundee West7,278Jim McGovernLabSNPScotlandFalkirk7,843Eric Joyce *LabSNPScotlandGlasgow North3,898Ann McKechinLabSNPScotlandLivingston10,791Graham MorriceLabSNPScotlandLinlithgow & Falkirk12,553Michael ConnartyLabSNPScotlandNorth Ayrshire & Arran9,895Katy ClarkLabSNPScotlandOchil & South Perthshire5,187Gordon BanksLabSNPScotlandStirling8,304Anne McGuire *LabSNPScotlandHeywood & Middleton5,971Liz McInnesLabUKIPNorth West
Note:
Names marked with * indicates that the MP will not be running in the 2015 general election
Names marked with ** indicates that the MP is sitting as a result of a by-election in which there was a change in majority party
Seat by Seat Predictions
CONSTITUENCY20102015REGIONAberavonLabLabWalesAberconwyConConWalesAberdeen NorthLabSNPScotlandAberdeen SouthLabLabScotlandAirdrie & ShottsLabLabScotlandAldershotConConSouth EastAldridge & BrownhillsConConWest MidlandsAltrincham & SaleConConNorth WestAlyn & DeesideLabLabWalesAmber ValleyConLabEast MidlandsAngusSNPSNPScotlandArfonPCPCWalesArgyll & ButeLib DemSNPScotlandArundel & South DownsConConSouth EastAshfieldLabLabEast MidlandsAshfordConConSouth EastAshton under LyneLabLabNorth WestAylesburyConConSouth EastAyr, Carrick & CumnockLabLabScotlandBanburyConConSouth EastBanff & BuchanSNPSNPScotlandBarkingLabLabLondonBarnsley CentralLabLabYorkshireBarnsley EastLabLabYorkshireBarrow & FurnessLabLabNorth WestBasildon & BillericayConConSouth EastBasingstokeConConSouth EastBassetlawLabLabEast MidlandsBathLib DemLib DemSouth WestBatley & SpenLabLabYorkshireBatterseaConConLondonBeaconsfieldConConSouth EastBeckenhamConConLondonBedfordConLabEast AngliaBelfast EastAllianceDUPNorthern IrelandBelfast NorthDUPDUPNorthern IrelandBelfast SouthSDLPSDLPNorthern IrelandBelfast WestSinn FéinSinn FéinNorthern IrelandBermondsey &
Old SouthwarkLib DemLib DemLondonBerwick upon TweedLib DemConNorth EastBerwickshire,
Roxburgh & SelkirkLib DemConScotlandBethnal Green & BowLabLabLondonBeverley & HoldernessConConYorkshireBexhill & BattleConConSouth EastBexleyheath & CrayfordConConLondonBirkenheadLabLabNorth WestBirmingham EdgbastonLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham ErdingtonLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham Hall GreenLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham Hodge HillLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham LadywoodLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham NorthfieldLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham Perry BarLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham Selly OakLabLabWest MidlandsBirmingham YardleyLib DemLabWest MidlandsBishop AucklandLabLabNorth EastBlackburnLabLabNorth WestBlackley & BroughtonLabLabNorth WestBlackpool North
& CleveleysConConNorth WestBlackpool SouthLabLabNorth WestBlaenau GwentLabLabWalesBlaydonLabLabNorth EastBlyth ValleyLabLabNorth EastBognor Regis
& LittlehamptonConConSouth EastBolsoverLabLabEast MidlandsBolton North EastLabLabNorth WestBolton South EastLabLabNorth WestBolton WestLabLabNorth WestBootleLabLabNorth WestBoston & SkegnessConUKIPEast MidlandsBosworthConConEast MidlandsBournemouth EastConConSouth WestBournemouth WestConConSouth WestBracknellConConSouth EastBradford EastLib DemLabYorkshireBradford SouthLabLabYorkshireBradford WestLabRespectYorkshireBraintreeConConSouth EastBrecon & RadnorshireLib DemLib DemWalesBrent CentralLib DemLabLondonBrent NorthLabLabLondonBrentford & IsleworthConLabLondonBrentwood & OngarConConSouth EastBridgendLabLabWalesBridgwater &
Somerset WestConConSouth WestBrigg & GooleConConEast MidlandsBrighton KemptownConLabSouth EastBrighton PavilionGreenGreenSouth EastBristol EastLabLabSouth WestBristol North WestConConSouth WestBristol SouthLabLabSouth WestBristol WestLib DemLib DemSouth WestBroadlandConConEast AngliaBromley & ChislehurstConConLondonBromsgroveConConWest MidlandsBroxbourneConConSouth EastBroxtoweConLabEast MidlandsBuckinghamSpeakerSpeakerSouth EastBurnleyLib DemLabNorth WestBurtonConConWest MidlandsBury NorthConLabNorth WestBury SouthLabLabNorth WestBury St EdmundsConConEast AngliaCaerphillyLabLabWalesCaithness, Sutherland
& Easter RossLib DemLib DemScotlandCalder ValleyConConYorkshireCamberwell & PeckhamLabLabLondonCamborne & RedruthConConSouth WestCambridgeLib DemLib DemSouth EastCannock ChaseConLabWest MidlandsCanterburyConConSouth EastCardiff CentralLib DemLabWalesCardiff NorthConLabWalesCardiff South & PenarthLabLabWalesCardiff WestLabLabWalesCarlisleConLabNorth WestCarmarthen East
& DinefwrPCPCWalesCarmarthen West
& South PembrokeshireConConWalesCarshalton & WallingtonLib DemConLondonCastle PointConConSouth EastCentral AyrshireLabLabScotlandCentral DevonConConSouth WestCentral Suffolk
& North IpswichConConEast AngliaCeredigionLib DemLib DemWalesCharnwoodConConEast MidlandsChatham & AylesfordConConSouth EastCheadleLib DemConNorth WestChelmsfordConConSouth EastChelsea & FulhamConConLondonCheltenhamLib DemLib DemSouth WestChesham & AmershamConConSouth EastChesterfieldLabLabEast MidlandsChichesterConConSouth EastChingford &
Woodford GreenConConLondonChippenhamLib DemConSouth WestChipping BarnetConConLondonChorleyLabLabNorth WestChristchurchConConSouth WestCities of London
& WestminsterConConLondonCity of ChesterConLabNorth WestCity of DurhamLabLabNorth EastClactonConUKIPEast AngliaCleethorpesConConEast MidlandsClwyd SouthLabLabWalesClwyd WestConConWalesCoatbridge,
Chryston & BellshillLabLabScotlandColchesterLib DemLib DemSouth EastColne ValleyConConYorkshireCongletonConConNorth WestCopelandLabLabNorth WestCorbyConLabEast MidlandsCoventry North EastLabLabWest Midlands
